Kentucky Derby Analysis (05/06/16)

In-depth analysis of the 2016 Kentucky Derby including Pace Figures and Form Cycle Pattern of each starter. Please refer to the Legend or Pattern Guide for back-up definitions and patterns.

Hope springs eternal for the owners of the twenty three year-old thoroughbreds that go postward in the 142nd Kentucky Derby. Carded as the twelfth race from legendary Churchill Downs at 5:50 ET on Saturday, NBC will cover the race with more than 50 camera angles including an 80 foot high camera secured to the top of the infield video board. A win in the Derby secures the connection's name in horse racing folklore and sets their horse towards a path of stallion status.

The 2015 Kentucky Derby winner, American Pharoah went on to become horse racing's thirteenth Triple Crown winner, and syndicated as a stallion for over $60mm. California Chrome, winner of the 2014 Derby, goes to stud this year where his expected stallion syndication rights are rumored at $10mm.

View the Predicteform Final Pace Figures for American Pharoah and California Chrome as well as the entire 2015 and 2014 Derby fields respectively.

Of the 20 starters in the Derby, 12 have the Too Slow designation. This designation does not mean one of these 12 runners can't win, it does mean however that the Predicteform projection is for a “Too Slow” horse to be at least six lengths off the winner. With that, we'll concentrate on the top four Value Play Picks, while also drawing a line through Lani, the lone international starter.

Here is our analysis on the betting favorite, Nyquist. For free access to the rest of our Kentucky Derby Analysis, please register for free!

Nyquist (3/1)

The lone undefeated colt in the field, Nyquist is one of three sons by first crop stallion Uncle Mo. Nyquist is looking to become only the second horse to win the Breeders' Cup Two-Year Old Championship and the Kentucky Derby since 1984 (only Street Sense accomplished this feat in 2006). He owns the highest Final Pace Figure in the field (80.8) as well as the second fastest final figure last race (77.5) and second fastest lifetime final figure average. Termed “brilliance,” Nyquist has shown an ability to win by open lengths, a sign of a potential superstar.

For free access to the rest of our Kentucky Derby Analysis, please register at Predicteform.com for free!

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