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Summer Racing Update (08/06/15)

As the summer racing season heats up I thought it would be a good time to update you on what's happening here at Predicteform and share with you a few of the new features we have recently launched.

You might be aware that I write a pretty in-depth race analysis most weeks during the summer, but did you know that it runs in the Wall Street Journal - check out the Predicteform analysis of the Haskell Invitational in the WSJ!

Each Friday, Ed DeRosa (from Brisnet) and I engage in a weekly podcast where we discuss the in detail the feature race/s of the weekend, which you can catch live at Blogtalkradio.com or here are Predicteform. Ed presents the Brisnet perspective of the select race/s along with past performance analysis while I really dive into the Pace Figures for each horse running and projections for their upcoming effort. Over the course of the last few weeks we've selected the following winners:
  • 7/24 Schuylerville: Off The Tracks ($19.60)
  • 7/25 Diana Stakes: Hard Not To Like ($14.40)
  • 8/2 Haskell Stakes: American Pharaoh - Keen Ice Cold Exacta ($10.80)

I've also been updating the Final Pace Figures for the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series as well as the major graded stakes on television. Check out American Pharaoh's Final Figure in the Haskell, it was a remarkable 82 and a lifetime top! How he is able to run such a race after the three year-old Triple Crown run is simply amazing. As paraphrased by Bruce Kittle, Cary Fotias' best friend, here's what the original founder of Equiform would have said about AP; "What a monster! I think this horse might be one of the best I have ever seen. Just incredible speed and one of the most fluid runners. I don't know of a way to beat him, and with each race, he just keeps getting better.”

While I agree 100%, logic tells me that we will see final figure regression in AP's next start, but even back three points to a 79 likely puts him ahead of the competition. Check out Texas Red's Lifetime Pace Figures and see how he could shape up against AP. On the topic of "who might run," Arlington Park is putting together a serious set of turf races next weekend with the Grade I Beverly D at 9.5f for Fillies three and up and the Grade I Arlington Million at 10f for the boys three year-olds and up. Here's hoping we find a Turf Decline Line (TDL) amongst all those starters...

Daily Top Value Play

The team at Predicteform has taken Value Plays to the next level by producing a Daily Top Value Play. The math engine that produces the Value Plays now searches all races every day and identifies the one race (from any track and any race with the exception of races in which at least one horse has not previously run) where the Top Contender has the largest gap in value from the second choice.

Designated as the "Daily Top Value," the pick is available for any subscriber to a product for that day. And since there is a free track of the week, every week, all visitors have FREE access to the Daily Top Value Play each weekend as long as you sign up for the Free Track of the Week.

Lifetime Top Final Figure

I had the good fortune of being in Saratoga for the first two weeks of the meet. My good friend, Tom Grossman, principal at Blue Chip Farms (the largest commercial Breeder of Standardbreds in the US), owns a house across the street from the front gate. Daily you could find us on the front porch discussing the races and the principles behind how each of us views a race. A notable commonality was always, "what was that horse's lifetime top final figure."

Knowing this top figure was important to each of us for the same reason - the run back number. Essentially, if on a given day when a horse is at the top of his game, what would be the highest figure he could run back to? After much deliberation with the team at Predicteform, it was acknowledged that this figure can be an important and missing piece to the handicapping equation - and so it was determined to add the Top Final Pace Figure. Located after the Last 4F Pace Figure on the Value Play tab (and in the basic view as well), Top Final can be a key indicator for a horse rounding back into form or in some cases off, coming off a layoff.

Please feel free to drop us a note and share what you think of the new features and enjoy this great weekend of racing.

Dan Zucker
Predicteform Co-Founder

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Welcome to Predicteform

Predicteform.com Pace Figures, Form Cycle Patterns and Value Play picks will tell you if a horse is likely to improve or regress in its next start. Easily accessible from any computer, tablet or mobile device, Predicteform.com services horse players of all types. Access to printing PDF's is also available.

How do I get started?
Visit the Learn tab on the navigation bar where you'll find the Predicteform.com Legend and Pattern Guide. These two tools combined will give you the knowledge you need to use Predicteform.com:

The Legend helps to explain how best to read the Pace Figures. It clearly defines what every line, symbol and figure means.

The Pattern Guide highlights Form Cycle Patterns, a series of 12 symbols/abbreviations, each with its own definition. These patterns are the easiest and most effective way to evaluate what we can expect from a horse's future performance and expected form cycle.

Value Play Picks use the automated technology and process to evaluate every track and race as well as the Predicteform.com team's analytical expertise, we can now rank every horse by its likelihood of winning the race and value (initially relative to morning line odds).
Value Play picks are included as part of all subscriptions and you can view now on the Free Race of the Day.

Blinker's Off - We have also published founder Cary Fotias' unabridged book on Form Cycle Analysis, available by chapter free to all who register.

Free Race of the Day – Every day, we will make available the Pace Figures and Value Play Picks for at least one race. Pace Figures are what subscribers, both in the Value Play Picks and the comprehensive "advanced" view, can see for every horse of every race at every track. Check out today's free race here.

Free Track of the Weekend - Each weekend (Fri. - Sun.), Predicteform will offer access to the Value Play Picks, Pace Figures and Form Cycle Patterns. Access to this data will provide new users an ability to follow along and learn how read, analyze and use the Predicteform technology.

Where can I see sample races?
Click here to read examples of the Pace Figures and Form Cycle Pattern Analysis for the 2016 Preakness Stakes. Many more race examples and other content has been made available within the Blog section of the site.

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Let us know what you like and what you want to see more of. We are big believers in collaboration and hope you are as excited as we are about Predicteform.com.