No more doing your own math as dirt and turf spreads now have their own row in the Advanced Figures view. Dirt Spreads are positive when the 4F Pace Figure is higher than the Final Figure while Turf Spreads are the inverse showing a positive number when the Final Figure is higher than the 4F Pace Figure. While many handicappers can get too stuck on where a horse has been, analysis of a runner's developing spread over a campaign can give handicappers a valuable heads up on where a horse is headed.
Distance Switches
Since prompting a nice conditiong move with the big NPT, Duke Of Gloucester continued to "tighten" up his dirt spreads to the point where the connections decided to give the maiden claimer more room and stretch out to a mile. His trend of "compression" distributing energy more equally with each race (+13 to +7 to +6.5) translated well to the added distance and The Duke came way with his first win paying $22.20. (BAQ, Race 4, 10/22/2023).
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Surface Switches
Brigadier General's recent campaign displayed drastic shifts in running style as we see a double-digit "forward-spent" dirt spread quickly "tighten" crossing zero on the way to a double-digit negative (late speed) dirt spread. This made Brigadier General an excellent candidate to try turf as larger Final Figures over smaller 4F Figures fundamentally translate well to the dynamics of the grass. Brigadier General took well to the surface switch just as the spreads suggested going a mile on grass as a $17.20 winner. (KEE, Race 9, 10/20/2023).
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Compression
Winnemac Avenue popped an impressive Reversal Form Cycle Pattern (REV) when his dirt spread tightened to mathematically negative for the first time in career. Holding the condition to distribute energy in this "compressed" fashion while also giving big upticks in his Pace Figures made it no surprise when Winnemac Avenue ran away with Keeneland's 8th on 10/19/2023 as an easy $8.28 winner.
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