G2 Tampa Bay Derby (03/06/21)

Tampa Bay Derby, Race 11

8 ½ Furlongs, Dirt

#3 Candy Man Rocket 2/1

Looks a solid favorite coming in with experience over today's spin off a stalking 76/73. Runner can match 4F Figures with this field and look to kick off late possibly set up to trigger a Reversal in this race. However, did shy on debut on a sloppy track. May not like the kickback in what figures to be another wet track today leaving the door open for an upset.

#5 Boca Boy 15/1

He has plenty of wet track experience and is on an upwards trend breaking through a DTOP setting another one with a competitive 77/72. Lightly-raced runners are eligible to break through DTOPs as they have yet to set their ceiling. This one may carry further today.

#8 Hidden Stash 4/1

Consistent type has been a step slow both early and coming late when comparing Figures whether on today's trip or other tracks travelled. Looks like an underlay we should look to beat.

#10 Helium 6/1

Good development moving from a COMP debut to a late-running spread (4F minus Final) of -7 in second start which translate well to a stretch out in distance. Comes from a young sire but the limited offspring statistics so far do not translate well for the surface switch here as this one steps onto a dirt track for the first time.

#11 Promise Keeper 8/1

Moves to two turns for the first time after a sloppy track 78/71 victory. Sloppy tracks can be known to carry runners further so holding the 2nd best Last 4F Figure could bode well for him if he can clear his outside post early.

#12 Sittin On Go 20/1

After a promising juvenile start, he's shown regression in each subsequent race since. Would need a grand set up here to run on late. Pass.

-Dustin Korth @predicteform


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