G1 Met Mile (07/04/20)

Belmont Park, Race 11

A stellar field makes up this year's edition of the “Met Mile” where one winner will punch their ticket to the Breeder's Cup Classic. Let's touch on some of the field's prominent runners from a Pace Figure standpoint.

#1 Network Effect 8/1

Increased 4F speed over last four tries at a mile culminating in a NPT (New Pace Top) last out going shorter. The NPT is a significant conditioning factor and most runners show improved energy distribution when racing back quickly.

#2 Vekoma 5/2

Runner has been nicely “compressed” balancing good speed for position with good finishing ability to notch high Final Figures. Last out, spiked an 82/80 DTOP. The DTOP is an indicator of likely next-out regression. Without proper recovery time, setting a lifetime top 4F along with Final is tough to sustain and this one wheels back in 28 days off that type of move.

#3 McKinzie 2/1

The year's debut of 72/76 sprinting indicates positively toward today's added distance. Dirt spreads are defined as 4F minus Final giving McKinzie a -4 for that performance indicating more energy was distributed later in the race. The majority of sprinters display positive dirt spreads (higher 4F than Final).

#5 Code Of Honor 3/1

Best work has come at longer distances when he showed up with 80 Finals last fall. The 4F and 6F Figures settle in the 60s and put this one at a position disadvantage, but Belmont's big, sweeping turns do afford closer types a better shot than other tracks. He does own a win at this track and distance last summer scoring at 61/76 with a SOFT designation. The SOFT designation lets us know the win was accompanied by lower 4F and Final Figures than the previous race so that day's field likely wasn't very strong and Code Of Honor could have given more if needed.

#7 Mr Freeze 8/1

Runner has been very consistent in setting Finals around and above the 78 range while also securing position with 4F Figures in the 70s. The -7 dirt spread last out (72-79) was the “latest-running” spread we've seen from this runner in 2 years.

#8 Warrior's Charge 12/1

Last out's 76/80 is top of the field's recent performances by just a bit. Runner's 4F Figs have increased rapidly over the last 3 routes so a cutback down to a mile could translate to a spot this one will try to get loose.

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